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تاریخ |
مقام/ کارشناس |
نقل قول |
منبع |
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1984 |
US Senator Alan Cranston |
Iran is seven years away from making a weapon |
Scott Peterson, Imminent Iran nuclear threat? A timeline of warnings since 1979, The Christian Science Monitor, November 8, 2011
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1992 |
Binyamin Netanyahu |
Iran was "3 to 5 years” from having a nuclear weapon |
Scott Peterson, Imminent Iran nuclear threat? A timeline of warnings since 1979, The Christian Science Monitor, November 8, 2011 |
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2004 |
Colin L. Powell |
We are talking about information that says they not only have [the] missiles but information that suggests they are working hard about how to put the two together |
Robin Wright and Keith B. Richburg, Powell Says Iran Is Pursuing Bomb, Washington Post,
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2005 |
Mohamed ElBaradei |
Iran may be able to produce a nuclear weapon "a few months" after it becomes capable of enriching uranium |
The Washington Times, Tuesday, October 11, 2005
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2006 |
Iran could have its first nuclear weapon in 2009 |
David Albright and Corey Hinderstein, Iran’s Next Steps: Final Tests and the Construction of a Uranium Enrichment Plant, Institute for Science and International Security, January 12, 2006
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2006 |
in six to 18 months Tehran would have the knowledge to produce nuclear weapons, and within three to five years it would have such weaponry if its plans went unchecked." |
Lt. Gen. Moshe Yaalon, Stopping the Iranian Nuclear Program: Is There an Israeli Option? Hudson Institute, March 7, 2006
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2006 |
American intelligence agencies |
it will take 5 to 10 years for Iran to manufacture the fuel for its first atomic bomb." |
William J. Broad and David E. Sanger, As Crisis Brews, Iran Hits Bumps in Atomic Path, The New York Times, March 5, 2006
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2009 |
Mike Mullen |
Iran has enough fissile material to make a nuclear bomb |
Deborah Zabarenko, Iran "not close" to nuclear weapon: Gates, Reuters, Mar 1, 2009
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2009 |
Dennis Blair |
Even though Iran has made significant progress in enriching uranium, the State Department bureau "continues to assess it is unlikely that Iran will have the technical capability to produce HEU (highly enriched uranium) before 2013," In his earlier testimony to Congress, Blair has said Iran could have enough highly enriched uranium for a bomb as early as 2010
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France News Agency, Aug 7, 2009
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2010 |
James E. Cartwright (Vice Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff) |
Iran could produce bomb-grade fuel for at least one nuclear weapon within a year, but that it would probably need two to five years to manufacture a workable atomic bomb |
David E. Sanger and Thom Shanker, Gates Says U.S. Lacks a Policy to Thwart Iran, The New York Times, April 17, 2010
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2011 |
Ehud Barak |
Iran is less than a year away from being unstoppable in its goal of producing a nuclear weapon |
Haaretz Newspaper, Nov.19, 2011
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2011 |
David Albright |
Iran could make enough for a bomb in little more than six months using 1,000 advanced centrifuges if it decided to divert its stock of U.N. safeguarded low enriched uranium in a dash for a weapon |
David Albright and Andrea Stricker, Iran’s Nuclear Program, Institute for Science and International Security, January 18, 2011
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2012 |
Leon Panetta |
the consensus is that, if they decided to do it, it would probably take them about a year to be able to produce a bomb and then possibly another one to two years in order to put it on a deliverable vehicle of some sort in order to deliver that weapon |
CNN, August 2, 2012
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